The short answer

  • Not quite: at $3,400 a month after tax, Gary's savings run out at 84, short of 90.
  • Part-time work until 65 would carry him to 90.
  • So would downsizing his home at 70.

Estimates from Scenario Lab+, in today's dollars.

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Retiring at 60 with $500,000 is a common goal, and a reachable one for a lot of Canadians. It takes more planning than retiring at 65. OAS doesn't start until 65, CPP pays less the earlier you take it, and a $500,000 portfolio has less room to absorb five years of spending on its own. If you're hoping to retire at 60 with $500,000, the first five years deserve most of your attention.

Here at Loonie Nest, our mission is to provide free and affordable personal finance education to Canadians so they can gain confidence in their retirement.

Gary's plan at a glance

Shortfall

$500,000

saved at 60

RRSP

$340,000

Taxed as income when withdrawn

TFSA

$110,000

Withdrawals are tax-free

Non-registered

$50,000

Only the capital gain is taxed

Spending after tax, in today's dollars

CPP $900 a month from 65

OAS $742 a month from 65

Our $500K Retirement Scenario

Let's meet Gary. He's 60, single, and living in Peterborough, ON. Gary has worked as an auto mechanic at an independent garage for most of his career, with no workplace pension. He owns his house and saved what he could along the way, and now has $500,000 across his RRSP, TFSA and a non-registered account. He's ready to step back from full-time work, but he's not sure his savings can carry him until CPP and OAS start.

We'll run Gary's numbers through Scenario Lab+.

Scenario Lab+ is our proprietary retirement planning software. We'll use it to generate and review a tailored retirement plan for him.

To start, here's how Gary's numbers look as he retires at 60:

Gary's plan inputs in Scenario Lab+: profile, account balances, CPP and OAS, monthly expenses and spending phases.Gary's plan inputs: his profile, account balances, CPP and OAS, and monthly spending.

Gary's CPP is $900 a month at 65. His CPP Statement of Contributions assumes he stops contributing at 60, which trims the estimate compared with working to 65. If you want a refresher on how both programs work, see our guide to CPP and OAS.

No OAS until 65. Old Age Security can't start before 65, no matter when you stop working. In Gary's plan, both CPP and OAS start at 65.

A balanced portfolio, planned to 90. Gary keeps a middle-of-the-road mix of stocks and bonds, so his plan assumes it grows 5% a year. We plan his retirement to age 90.

His spending falls as he ages. Most retirees spend more in their go-go years, and less later on. Gary's plan starts at $3,400 a month and assumes that his spending steps down as he reaches 75 and again at 85. In Scenario Lab+, these steps are the plan's Spending Phases.

A few other important assumptions: all figures are in today's dollars, Gary is single and owns his home with no mortgage, and inflation runs at 2.5% a year.

Gary's retirement budget

Here is how his $3,400 a month breaks down in his first fifteen years:

CategoryMonthlyAnnual
Housing (property tax, utilities, insurance, upkeep)$1,000$12,000
Food and dining$650$7,800
Health and dental$400$4,800
Travel$350$4,200
Everything else (truck, gifts, entertainment)$1,000$12,000
Total$3,400$40,800

A paid-off home keeps his housing costs low, and it's also an asset he could draw on later. Costs vary a lot across the province. Our guide to the best places to retire in Canada compares cities and regions.

Is $500K Enough to Retire at 60?

Scenario Lab+'s overview of Gary's plan: nearly there, about $163 a month short of his spending goal.Scenario Lab+'s results: Gary is nearly there, with two ways back on track.

For Gary, the results say not quite. His savings last until 84, short of the end of his plan at 90. After that he would be living on CPP and OAS alone, about $20,500 a year after tax, while his plan calls for about $32,600.

The gap is smaller than it looks. Scenario Lab+ estimates that spending about $163 less a month ($1,956 a year) would carry him to 90, and so would working until 62.

The generic 4% rule would suggest $500,000 supports about $20,000 a year. Gary draws about $44,200 a year from his savings in his first five years, close to 9% of his portfolio, because no government money has started yet. That's what makes retiring at 60 on $500,000 tight.

Bridging the Five Years to 65

From 60 to 64, Gary has no CPP, no OAS and no paycheque. Every dollar he spends comes out of his accounts.

By the end of the year he turns 64, his portfolio is down from $500,000 to $329,523. He spends a third of his savings before any government money arrives. At 65, CPP ($10,800 a year) and OAS ($8,908 a year) start together, and his withdrawals drop by almost half, from $44,176 to $23,988 a year.

The bridge years are the whole story for Gary. Anything that eases them, or adds to his savings later on, fixes his plan.

How Much Income Does $500K Provide?

So how much retirement income does a $500K nest egg generate at 60? For Gary, $500,000 provides $44,176 of gross income in his first year, which works out to $3,400 a month after tax.

In his first year of retirement, Gary draws on three sources, all of them his own savings:

Gary's retirement income by year, stacked by source. Withdrawals carry everything until 65, then run dry at 84.Where Gary's income comes from each year, by source.

SourceAmountTaxable?
RRSP withdrawals$30,039Yes
TFSA withdrawals$9,719No
Non-registered withdrawals$4,418Only the capital gain
Gross income$44,176
Income tax$3,376
Spending money$40,800

At 65 the mix changes. CPP and OAS bring in $19,708 a year, and the remaining $24,000 or so comes from his RRSP, TFSA and non-registered accounts.

Scenario Lab+ uses its Proportional drawdown strategy by default, drawing from every account each year roughly in proportion to its balance. That keeps his taxable income steady from year to year. The Drawdown tab runs the same plan through other withdrawal strategies, such as Sequential and RRSP Meltdown, and compares the lifetime tax of each.

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How Much Tax Gary Pays

Gary's tax calculation for age 60: $31,586 of taxable income and $3,376 of total tax.Gary's tax bill in his first year of retirement, at age 60.

Gary pays $3,376 in income tax in his first year of retirement. That works out to about 7.6% of his gross income.

His taxable income comes to $31,586. His TFSA withdrawals are tax-free, and only part of his non-registered withdrawals is taxable. He doesn't get the age amount tax credit until 65, but his income is low enough that his bill stays small anyway.

He is nowhere near the OAS recovery tax (or clawback). Our explainer on the OAS clawback covers how it works and who is affected. To estimate your own bill, try our free Canadian income tax calculator.

How His Plan Changes Over Time

Scenario Lab+'s year-by-year table for Gary, showing each account balance from 60.Year-by-year account balances from 60.

In Scenario Lab+, the Table tab shows every account for every year, and the whole table downloads as an Excel file.

Like many retirees, Gary's retirement will not look the same every year.

At 65, CPP and OAS start. His withdrawals fall by almost half, and his portfolio shrinks more slowly.

At 71, his RRSP becomes a RRIF. Every Canadian has to convert their RRSP by the end of the year they turn 71, and a RRIF has a minimum withdrawal each year. Gary already withdraws more than the minimum, so nothing changes much. Our RRIF guide covers the rules.

At 75, his OAS goes up 10% and his spending steps down. OAS pays more from age 75, so his rises from $8,908 to $9,798 a year, while his spending drops to $3,060 a month.

At 84, his savings run out. From there, CPP and OAS are all he has: about $20,500 a year after tax, a bit under two thirds of what his plan calls for.

Gary's available income compared with his spending target: about $163 a month short.Income available to Gary compared with what he plans to spend.

Scenario Lab+'s Recommendations tab sizes each fix, such as spending less or retiring later, and you can apply one with a click to see the plan rebuild around it.

Based on his numbers, Scenario Lab+ estimates Gary needs to spend about $163 less every month, or work until 62, to make his money last to 90.

But What If We Change the Assumptions?

Gary's base plan comes up short. So the useful question is which changes fix it, and which only look like they would. We took his plan and changed one assumption at a time.

4 versions of Gary's plan

One assumption changed in each. Charts show the portfolio from 60 to 90 in Scenario Lab+.

Gary's base plan

Scenario Lab+ portfolio chart, Gary's base plan: $500,000 at 60, running out at 84.
Spends at 60
$40,800/yr
Money lasts
To age 84
Left at 90
$0

Works part-time until 65

Scenario Lab+ portfolio chart, Works part-time until 65: $500,000 at 60, $67,500 left at 90.
Spends at 60
$40,800/yr
Money lasts
Past 90
Left at 90
$67,500

Sells his house and buys a condo at 70

Scenario Lab+ portfolio chart, Sells his house and buys a condo at 70: $500,000 at 60, $162,798 left at 90.
Spends at 60
$40,800/yr
Money lasts
Past 90
Left at 90
$162,798

Delays CPP and OAS to 70

Scenario Lab+ portfolio chart, Delays CPP and OAS to 70: $500,000 at 60, running out at 83.
Spends at 60
$40,800/yr
Money lasts
To age 83
Left at 90
$0

Scenario 1

Works part-time until 65

Spends at 60
$40,800/yr
Money lasts
Past 90
Left at 90
$67,500

This is the change that makes Gary's plan work while he still retires at 60. If he picks up part-time hours at the garage, earning $1,500 a month before tax from 60 until he turns 65, his savings don't have to carry the whole bridge. In Scenario Lab+, part-time work goes under Other Income, with the age it starts and the age it ends.

By 64 his portfolio is $418,477 instead of $329,523, and his plan lasts to 90 with $67,500 left. He still steps back from full-time work at 60, and the part-time income gives his savings five easier years.

Part-time work is one of the most effective levers an early retiree has. Every dollar earned in the bridge years is a dollar that stays invested.

Scenario 2

Sells his house and buys a condo at 70

Spends at 60
$40,800/yr
Money lasts
Past 90
Left at 90
$162,798

Gary's house is his biggest asset, and it isn't part of his $500,000. What if he sells it at 70 for $550,000, buys a condo for $400,000, and invests the $150,000 difference? In Scenario Lab+, that's one entry under One-Time Transactions: a downsize, with the sale price, the purchase price and the age.

Because it's his principal residence, the sale isn't taxed. His portfolio jumps from $244,382 at 69 to $380,525 at 70, and his plan lasts to 90 with $162,798 left, the most of any scenario here.

For homeowners with modest savings, the home is often the backup plan. Deciding on it early, rather than in a crisis, lets you plan the rest of your retirement around it.

Scenario 3

Delays CPP and OAS to 70

Spends at 60
$40,800/yr
Money lasts
To age 83
Left at 90
$0

Delaying CPP and OAS to 70 often helps, and in our case study of Linda at 65 it's what fixes her plan. For Gary, it backfires.

His benefits would be much larger: $15,336 a year of CPP instead of $10,800, and $12,114 of OAS instead of $8,908. But he would have to fund ten years from savings instead of five. By 69 his portfolio would be down to $146,658, compared with $244,382 in his original plan, and his savings would run out at 83, a year earlier.

Delaying only pays off if you can afford to wait. Gary can't bridge ten years on $500,000, so the bigger cheques arrive too late. Our CPP and OAS break-even calculator shows where that line falls for you.

Your $500K Is Not Gary's $500K

So is $500,000 enough to retire at 60? For Gary, not quite as planned, but a few years of part-time work, or using his home later on, gets him there. His plan is a starting point, not an answer for anyone else.

Two people with exactly $500,000 can end up with very different retirements. What they spend, how much CPP and OAS they receive, whether they own their home, and how many years they need to bridge before 65 can make all the difference. Retiring at 65 opens up different options, as Linda's plan with $500,000 at 65 shows.

The bigger risk is guessing whether $500,000 is enough without running your own scenario.

That's why we built Scenario Lab+.

It is the software behind every number in this article. Give it your own accounts and spending, and it builds the same year-by-year plan for you, including every what-if above. If you'd like to see it first, Gary's full plan is open to explore.

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